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developing a environment to storm relationship
Severe storm modeling has provided
forecasters with a useful learning tool -- forecast (or convective) matrices.
These matrices serve to practically condense years of modeling research
results and give forecasters quick access to relationships between environment
and storm type.
A forecast matrix is built by making many simulations using
different combinations of wind shear
and CAPE that are
representative of actual storm environments.
Different storm behavior is observed in these different environments.
The matrix shows these results to the
forecaster in the form of low level and mid level
cloud visualizations, wind patterns, and sometimes, a brief explanation.
For example, below is a 3-D view of thunderstorms
that develop in a high CAPE, high speed shear (no directional shear)